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Tuesday, 22 February 2011

A Banquet of Consequences: Systems Thinking and Modeling for Climate Policy-Dire Warning

I have added a new video conference to my video wall. It is a rousing cry for action to master global warming effectively.

A few notes I made from the video are as follows:


-Playing Russian roulette with the future of  climate change.
-19/20 chances that the barrel is loaded except that the barrel is not aimed at us but at our children!
-Even if C02 emissions dropped in the recession year 2008 concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere continued to rise.
-AIM IPPC: Temp rise <2°C,  (3.6°F)
Mean estimate MIT:
-Biz as usual T >5°C (9.5F) expected warming by Year 2100
-90% confidence level
Very lucky - Lower bound 5% chance Temp rise 3.5°C
Very Unlucky 5% chance Temp rise  7.5°C
-Leads to the Russian roulette analogy above

No brushing of Climate Warming Issues under the proverbial carpet
SOLUTIONS Given - So TUNE IN and Develop the Adequate Global Job markets.



Although the video does not adequately show the figures presented slides are presented separately at the reference below:

REFERENCE

"A Banquet of Consequences: Systems Thinking and Modeling for Climate Policy" is a presentation given by John Sterman, Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management, MIT Sloan School of Management; Professor of System Dynamics and Engineering Systems, MIT; Director, MIT System Dynamics Group at the MIT System Design and Management's 2010 Systems Thinking for Contemporary Challenges Conference on October 21, 2010. Please reference the link below for John Sterman's presentation:
Climate Policy_Systems Thinking Conference_2010 by John Sterman (pdf)

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High Purity Cr sources for Superalloys

Energy for th Future:Phil.Trans.A-Vol. 365, N° 1853 / April 15, 2007, curtesy The Royal Soc. London

Engineered foams and porous materials: Phil Trans A. Vol 364, N° 1838 / 06 curtesy_The R Soc. Lond